The release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 48.2, reported at 10:00 PM WIB, indicates that the manufacturing sector continues to operate in a contraction zone, reflecting a downturn in economic performance. This figure not only falls short of Trading Central’s forecast of 48.8 but also represents a decline from the previous month’s data of 48.7. This weakening trend suggests mounting pressure on production activities and industrial demand, signaling that the economic recovery is still fragile. The market’s swift reaction is evident as Gold prices rise to around $4,244, illustrating an increased demand for safe-haven assets amidst disappointing economic data.
In terms of monetary policy, this disappointing ISM data reinforces expectations that the Federal Reserve may retain a dovish stance or even consider easing measures if economic pressures escalate. With inflation showing signs of moderation and the manufacturing sector yet to rebound, the likelihood of interest rate cuts in upcoming meetings has notably increased. This scenario provides additional support for Gold, as lower interest rate expectations tend to weaken the dollar and decrease bond yields, consequently enhancing the appeal of non-yielding assets like Gold. Should US economic data continue to underperform, bullish sentiment towards Gold could persist in the short term.
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