US Inflation Data Release Pressures Dollar, Gold Affected by US-China Trade Agreement

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Update: Wednesday, 14/05/2025 - 12:53 PM
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The release of inflation data from the United States, specifically the Consumer Price Index (CPI), on Tuesday ignited significant volatility in the financial markets. The CPI recorded a year-on-year increase of 2.3% in April, which fell short of the projected 2.5% and decreased from the previous month’s 2.4%. In contrast, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, grew by 2.8%, aligning with expectations and matching the growth from March.

This release is expected to continue influencing market movements during Wednesday’s European trading session (May 14, 2025).

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GOLD
Gold prices (XAUUSD) surged by over $15, or 150 pips, hitting $3,249.58 per troy ounce in Tuesday’s trading, recovering from a sharp decline earlier in the week. Despite experiencing volatility, gold faced headwinds from the US-China trade agreement.

Nonetheless, gold managed to sustain its gains after the data release indicated a slowdown in inflation growth in the United States. This data creates an opportunity for the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates more swiftly and aggressively this year.

Both of these sentiments are likely to impact gold’s movement during the European trading session, although the pressures from the trade agreement remain stronger.


OIL
Oil prices (CLS10) surged by $1.66 to $63.61 per barrel on Tuesday. The commodity recorded a four-day consecutive rise, reaching its highest level in three weeks.

Oil benefited from positive sentiment generated by the US-China trade agreement, which could lead to an improved global economy and a potential increase in oil demand. This sentiment is poised to influence oil’s movement during the European trading session.


EURUSD
The EURUSD pair jumped 987 points (98.7 pips) to 1.11822 in Tuesday’s trading, following a sharp decline earlier in the week. The United States’ inflation data exerted pressure on the US dollar, as it opened up room for the Federal Reserve to possibly reduce interest rates more rapidly.

This sentiment contributed to the rise of EURUSD, which is expected to influence trading during the European session.


GBPUSD
The pressure on the US dollar caused GBPUSD to rise by 1.275 points (127.5 pips) to 1.32958 in Tuesday’s trading, marking a significant rebound from earlier losses in the week.

The inflation data from the United States continues to affect the US dollar sentiment and will likely influence movements during the European trading session.


USDJPY
The USDJPY pair plummeted by 982 points (98.2 pips) to 147.401 during Tuesday’s trading after having previously surged by over 300 pips earlier in the week. The decline was largely due to profit-taking following a slowdown in inflation growth in the United States.

There is a potential for profit-taking to continue in the European trading session.


Nasdaq
The Nasdaq index surged nearly 300 points to 21,254 during Tuesday’s trading, reaching a three-month high. The combination of the US-China trade agreement and the slowdown in inflation growth in the United States has been a major driver of this recent surge.

This sentiment is expected to continue influencing Nasdaq’s movement during the European trading session.


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