Powell Hints at New Nasdaq Records, Will Gold Rise?

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Update: Thursday, 26/06/2025 - 12:16 PM
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The US Dollar faced pressure in trading on Wednesday following a relatively dovish stance from Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell.

During his second day of testimony before the US Congress, Powell indicated that without any import tariff policies, the Fed would continue to lower interest rates.

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This statement suggests that the Fed could potentially make aggressive cuts to interest rates if the import tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump do not lead to further inflation.

Additionally, the de-escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict has reduced the appeal of the US Dollar as a safe haven. This sentiment is expected to influence market movements on Thursday (June 26, 2025).


GOLD
The pressure on the US Dollar led to an increase in Gold (XAUUSD) prices, rising by $9.13 or 91.3 pips to reach $3,331.75 per troy ounce in Wednesday’s trading. Gold rebounded after a drop on Tuesday, where it briefly fell below $3,300 per troy ounce.

The easing of tensions between Israel and Iran has diminished Gold’s appeal as a safe haven. However, Powell’s dovish remarks provided a positive sentiment for Gold, which could increase further if the US Dollar continues to weaken.

OIL
Oil prices (CLS10) dipped slightly to $64.91 per barrel on Wednesday after falling over the previous two days. The easing of the Israel-Iran conflict has heightened concerns over potential supply disruptions from the Middle East, keeping Oil prices under pressure.

This sentiment is anticipated to remain a factor influencing Oil movements during the European trading session.


EURUSD
The EURUSD pair climbed during Wednesday’s trading, benefiting from the weakness of the US Dollar. This upward trend continued, reaching 1.17174, marking the highest level since September 2021.

Throughout this week, EURUSD increased by 1,959 points (195.9 pips) to this level. During the European session, the release of consumer confidence data from Germany at 13:00 WIB could serve as a catalyst for EURUSD. Trading Central forecasts the consumer sentiment index for July at -19, an improvement from this month’s -19.9.

Data releases that exceed expectations could lead to additional positive sentiment for the EURUSD.


GBPUSD
Similar to the EURUSD, the GBPUSD pair has appreciated since the start of last week and reached 1.37244 this morning, the highest level since early January 2022.

For the week, GBPUSD surged by 2,760 points (276 pips) due to the pressure on the US Dollar. The reduction in the appeal of the US Dollar as a safe haven asset from the Israel-Iran conflict has added to this pressure. The impact of Fed Powell’s relatively dovish tone has further compounded the pressure on the US Dollar.

This sentiment is expected to continue influencing GBPUSD movements during the European trading session.


USDJPY
USDJPY concluded trading on Wednesday at 145.175, an increase of 343 points (34.3 pips). It had previously peaked at 145.950 but retraced as a response to Powell’s dovish remarks.

In today’s trading, USDJPY has fallen to 144.562, indicating that pressure on the US Dollar remains significant and is likely to persist during the European trading session.


Nasdaq
The de-escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict and Powell’s dovish stance have propelled the Nasdaq to reach new record highs since last Tuesday. The most recent record, set at 22,547, was achieved on Wednesday, and the Nasdaq remains close to this peak.

Powell’s dovish positioning provides an additional positive sentiment for the Nasdaq, suggesting it could potentially break its highest record again.


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