Financial markets experienced confusion on Monday (July 7, 2025) after U.S. President Donald Trump postponed the scheduled increase in import tariffs from July 9 to August 1.
However, there is still uncertainty regarding whether countries that do not reach trade agreements before July 9 can continue negotiations during this delay. On another note, Trump also indicated that a trade agreement with several countries would be announced before July 9.
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These sentiments are likely to influence market movements in tonight’s trading session.
GOLD
Gold prices (XAUUSD) dropped more than $36 or 360 pips by the start of European trading, nearly falling below $3,300 per troy ounce. While there’s still no clarity regarding the tariff delay, the President also revealed that trade agreements with several nations would be reached before July 9.
This creates a negative sentiment for Gold, compounded by a strengthening U.S. dollar, which adds additional pressure on this precious metal. Both factors could continue to undermine Gold prices in tonight’s session.
OIL
Oil prices (CLS10) rebounded to $67.17 per barrel at the start of European trading, having previously plummeted to $65.52 per barrel earlier in the morning. The drop was triggered after OPEC+ decided to increase production by 548,000 barrels per day starting in August, exceeding the forecast of 411,000 barrels per day.
Nevertheless, the possibility of the U.S. reaching a trade agreement with other countries provides optimism for improvements in the global economy. This could potentially increase demand for Oil, enabling it to rebound. This sentiment is likely to affect market movements in today’s trading.
EURUSD
The EURUSD pair experienced profit-taking, falling more than 520 points (52 pips) to 1.17222 at the beginning of European trading. The release of U.S. retail sales data for May, which grew by 1.8% year-on-year, helped this currency pair rebound. This data outperformed the Trading Central forecast of 1.7% year-on-year.
However, EURUSD remains overshadowed by profit-taking in tonight’s trading, as its position is still not far from the highest levels since September 2021. Moreover, there’s still no certainty about whether the European Union will reach a trade agreement with the U.S., and if negotiations can resume after July 9.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD fell more than 700 points (70 pips) to 1.35748 at the onset of European trading but gradually reduced its losses. The pair is under pressure from ongoing fiscal and political uncertainties in the UK since last week.
This has resulted in a sell-off in British bonds, which further weighs on GBPUSD. The uncertainty followed the rejection of the welfare reform proposed by the UK government by the Labour Party. Speculations regarding the future of Chancellor Rachel Reeves have also emerged. This sentiment continues to affect market dynamics in tonight’s trading session.
USDJPY
USDJPY reversed to 145.511 at the start of European trading after previously dropping to 144.233. This pair rebounded after Trump announced that trade agreements would be finalized with several countries before July 9.
This sentiment will likely influence USDJPY movements in the trading session tonight.
Nasdaq
The Nasdaq has shown volatile movements within the range of 22,907 – 23,023 early in European trading. Despite the volatility, the Nasdaq appears to be strengthening as a trade agreement with some countries is anticipated to be completed soon.
Additionally, Trump’s decision to delay the tariff increase until August 1 provides an opportunity for countries that have yet to reach an agreement to continue negotiations. This sentiment is likely to impact market movements tonight.
