High Volatility! Gold and USDJPY Surge, EURUSD Plummets

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Update: Monday, 06/10/2025 - 17:50 PM
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High volatility has swept through the financial markets during trading on Monday (October 6, 2025). The ongoing governmental shutdown in the United States and the selection of Japan’s Prime Minister triggered significant movements this morning. As European trading commenced, the resignation of French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu further heightened market volatility.

These issues are expected to continue influencing market movements during the night’s trading.

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GOLD
The political crisis in France has enhanced Gold’s appeal as a safe haven, pushing its price up by over $63 (6300 pips) to $3,949.69 per troy ounce today. This price marks a new record high, bringing the market closer to the psychological threshold of $4,000 per troy ounce.

Gold had previously received a positive catalyst from the US government shutdown, which poses risks of layoffs for federal employees. This situation may worsen the labor market, leading traders to speculate that the Federal Reserve could adopt more aggressive rate cuts. Such scenarios enhance Gold’s attractiveness among investors.

Additionally, the US economy is showing signs of slowing down. Recent data released last Friday indicated that the service sector’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) from ISM stood at 50 for September, almost indicating contraction.

The manufacturing sector, which is critical to the US economy, contributes over 70% to the gross domestic product (GDP) and nearly 80% to the labor market. The slowdown in the service sector PMI signals deterioration in the US economy.

A combination of these events and data continues to cast a positive sentiment around Gold.


OIL
Oil prices (CLS10) continued their upward trajectory, reaching a daily high of $62.05 per barrel at the start of European trading. The increase followed OPEC+ agreeing to raise production levels by 137,000 barrels in November.

This increase is significantly lower than Saudi Arabia’s minimum demand of 274,000 barrels, causing Oil to rebound from a four-month low and is expected to impact movements in tonight’s trading.


EURUSD
EURUSD plunged by 900 points (90 pips) to 1.16519 by this afternoon following PM Lecornu’s resignation. He was in office only since early September and had just announced his cabinet this past Sunday.

In the last two years, France has seen five prime ministers change roles, including Lecornu. This situation indicates ongoing political turmoil in France.

The sudden downturn reflects the political crisis affecting France, thereby pressuring EURUSD.


GBPUSD
GBPUSD is experiencing high volatility within a wide range of 1.34179-1.34642 as European trading kicks off. With no significant economic data releases from the UK, attention is drawn to the political dynamics occurring worldwide, which has reinforced the strength of the US dollar.

This sentiment is also anticipated to influence GBPUSD movements during tonight’s trading.


USDJPY
The upward trend for USDJPY continued at the start of the European trading session, hitting 150.474. Compared to Friday’s closing, USDJPY soared nearly 3,000 points (300 pips), reaching a 2-month high.

The yen’s exchange rate plummeted following Sanae Takaichi’s election as Japan’s Prime Minister. Takaichi is the first female Prime Minister of Japan and is seen as pro-fiscal stimulus, putting pressure on the yen’s value and causing USDJPY to surge. This sentiment is likely to continue affecting USDJPY in tonight’s trading.


NASDAQ
NASDAQ rose to 25,141 by the start of the European trading session, an increase of 159 index points compared to Friday’s close. NASDAQ is approaching its all-time high of 25,195, disregarding the ongoing US governmental shutdown.

Expectations of the Federal Reserve making aggressive rate cuts are bolstering NASDAQ’s rise. Positive sentiment grew further after the Nikkei index in Japan surged to set a new record after Takaichi’s appointment as the new Prime Minister.


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