Significant movements have been observed in Gold (XAUUSD) as trading commenced on Tuesday (September 2, 2025), breaking the all-time high record. The primary market sentiment continues to be driven by expectations of two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. Additionally, several economic data releases are likely to impact today’s movements.
Here are the updates from Trading Central:
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- Eurozone inflation (year-on-year/August) at 4:00 PM WIB; forecast 2.1% compared to the previous 2%
- Core inflation in the Eurozone (year-on-year/August) at 4:00 PM WIB; forecast 2.3% compared to the previous 2.3%
- US Manufacturing PMI from ISM (August) at 9:00 PM WIB; forecast 48.2 compared to the previous 48
GOLD
The price of Gold (XAUUSD) surged to $3,508 per troy ounce this morning, surpassing the previous record of $3,500 set on April 22. Compared to Monday’s close, Gold has increased by over $32 or 320 pips.
As of Monday, Gold has recorded five consecutive days of gains, bolstered by expectations of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Market participants now believe that the Fed is likely to reduce rates twice this year, specifically in September and December.
These expectations have also put pressure on the US dollar, which is beneficial for Gold. Should the inflation data (consumer price index/CPI) from the Eurozone released this afternoon be better than the forecast and strengthen the EURUSD, Gold may receive additional positive momentum during the European trading session.
OIL
Oil prices (CLS10) rose in early trading on Tuesday, reaching a daily high of $65.07 per barrel. Oil continues to rise as a response to potential supply disruptions from Russia.
This is due to Ukraine launching intensified air strikes targeting Russian energy facilities. This sentiment is likely to continue influencing Oil’s movements in the European trading session.
EURUSD
EURUSD has reversed downward to 1.16881 after briefly climbing to 1.17185 earlier this morning. Nonetheless, there is potential for EURUSD to regain positive sentiment if the Eurozone inflation data is released above the forecast.
An increase in CPI could lead the European Central Bank (ECB) to adopt a more cautious approach regarding further interest rate cuts, thereby providing favorable sentiment for EURUSD.
GBPUSD
The movement of this currency pair is similar to that of EURUSD, having risen to 1.35493 earlier this morning before retreating to 1.35201. Given this trend, there is potential for GBPUSD to also gain positive sentiment if the Eurozone inflation data exceeds the forecast.
USDJPY
The USDJPY pair has shown a sharp increase, reaching 147.897 in today’s trading, representing a rise of 796 points (79.6 pips) compared to Monday’s close. This surge follows growing doubts among market participants regarding the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) plans for imminent interest rate increases, particularly as inflation in Tokyo indicates slower growth.
However, this sharp early-session rise may trigger a potential reversal, as the US dollar is also affected by negative sentiment stemming from expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Nasdaq
The Nasdaq index has dipped to about 23,404 in early trading today, pressured by profit-taking actions due to a lack of upward momentum. In recent days, the Nasdaq has fluctuated near its all-time high, and in the absence of strong momentum, there is a likelihood of further profit-taking.
This sentiment is expected to continue affecting the Nasdaq during the European trading session.
