The price of gold nosedived significantly, reaching a low of $4,065 on Friday, completely wiping out gains made earlier in the session. This intense pressure was triggered by hawkish remarks from several Federal Reserve officials, who reiterated their inclination to maintain high interest rates for an extended period. As a result, this statement severely rattled market expectations, causing the likelihood of an interest rate cut in December to plummet from 94% to 49%, prompting a sell-off from non-yielding assets like gold.
Simultaneously, the US Dollar rebounded from a two-week low as the prospect of short-term monetary easing faded, further exerting pressure on gold prices. Additionally, the resolution of the US government shutdown reduced interest in safe-haven assets. This combination of factors accelerated gold’s decline, especially as investors gravitated back towards the USD as a defensive asset.
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Despite the prevailing selling pressure, several factors could potentially limit the drop in gold prices. Renewed concerns over inflated AI valuations are suppressing global equity markets and dampening risk appetite, leaving room for a possible recovery in gold. Furthermore, although the US government shutdown has officially ended, the temporary funding arrangements keep the political sentiment fragile, maintaining a defensive interest among some investors in gold amidst lingering uncertainties.
