Current US Manufacturing PMI 49.1 vs Forecast 49; Gold Volatility

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Update: Wednesday, 01/10/2025 - 21:01 PM
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The United States has once again released significant data at 21:00 WIB. After the earlier ADP employment report indicated a slowdown, the manufacturing PMI for this month has been published at 49.1, slightly above the forecast of 49 and also higher than the previous level of 48.7. Nevertheless, the PMI remaining below the 50 mark suggests that the US manufacturing sector is still in a contraction phase. Following the release of this data, Gold exhibited volatility, fluctuating around $3,871, reflecting the market’s uncertainty amid mixed economic signals.

The latest data series indicates double pressure on the US economy, where the labor sector is beginning to weaken while manufacturing activity has yet to make a full recovery. This situation reinforces the view that The Fed will face a significant dilemma in shaping its monetary policy direction. With inflation beginning to stabilize but economic growth remaining fragile, the market increasingly believes that a rate cut could be implemented more promptly to promote stability. The outlook for US interest rates appears to lean towards a dovish stance, with investors now closely watching upcoming inflation data releases and comments from Fed officials.

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