Current Retail Sales in Germany 0.9% vs Forecast 0.6%; EURUSD Volatility

Germany has released retail sales data that significantly influenced the movement of EURUSD during trading on Friday (November 28, 2025).

Retail sales in October were reported to grow by 0.9% year-on-year (YoY), exceeding the forecast by Trading Central of 0.6% YoY, and a rise from the previous month’s figure of 0.2% YoY.

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Following the release of this information, EURUSD briefly rallied to 1.15866 before reversing and approaching the daily low of 1.15811.

This data is considered quite positive, suggesting the potential for a rebound in EURUSD. Additionally, the US dollar is currently under pressure due to increasing expectations of a rate cut by the Fed in December. Data from the FedWatch tool indicates that the likelihood of a rate cut by the Fed in December has now reached 85%. This situation adds further pressure on the US dollar.