At the beginning of the week, President Donald Trump of the United States announced an additional 25% import tariff on products from Japan and South Korea, set to take effect on August 1.
This announcement has stirred significant market movements and continues to affect market sentiment during trading on Tuesday (July 8, 2025).
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GOLD
The price of Gold (XAUUSD) briefly fell below $3,300 per troy ounce early in the week before recovering to close at $3,335.97 per troy ounce. The appeal of Gold as a safe haven has surged once again following Trump’s tariff increase, raising concerns about the potential resurgence of a trade war.
Furthermore, with a deadline of July 9 looming, no trade agreement has been announced between the United States and the European Union. Several EU countries have issued stern warnings that if Trump goes ahead with import tariff hikes, they will retaliate in kind.
The heightened risk of a trade war remains a positive sentiment driver for Gold during the European trading session.
OIL
Oil prices (CLS10) rebounded to close at $67.90 per barrel after previously plunging to $65.52 per barrel. Oil markets were rattled early Monday following OPEC+’s announcement to increase oil production by 548,000 barrels per day in August, exceeding this month’s increase of 411,000 barrels per day.
Nonetheless, reports indicate that the anticipated production increases have not yet materialized, resulting in a rebound in Oil prices earlier this week. The possibility of a trade war adds to the factors driving Oil prices today, potentially putting additional pressure on the markets. Should a trade war materialize, fears of a global economic slowdown and reduced oil demand could follow.
EURUSD
The EURUSD pair fell by 690 points (69 pips) to 1.17059 at the beginning of the week due to profit-taking, as market players reacted to its position near multi-year highs reached in September 2021.
The pressure on EURUSD intensified following Trump’s tariff announcement, which boosted interest in the US dollar as a safe haven. Interestingly, today EURUSD has rebounded to 1.17499, despite uncertainty regarding whether the European Union will finalize a trade agreement with the United States before the July 9 deadline. This uncertainty leaves EURUSD vulnerable to potential downward pressure.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD dropped 505 points (50.5 pips) at the start of the week to 1.35952 due to ongoing political dynamics in the UK. Market participants have reportedly begun to lose faith in the UK government, which had previously promised business-friendly policies.
Consequently, GBPUSD is likely to remain under negative sentiment during the European trading session.
USDJPY
USDJPY surged by 1.463 points (146.3 pips) to 144.428 at the beginning of the week after falling to 144.223 during initial trading hours. The Yen came under pressure following Trump’s tariff increase on imports from Japan.
This pressure is likely to continue during the European trading session, offering positive sentiment for USDJPY.
Nasdaq
The Nasdaq index declined by 66 points to 22,838 in early trading due to concerns over a renewed trade war. However, today it has risen to 22,938, despite risks indicating that the United States may not reach a trade agreement with the European Union, which heightens the potential for a trade war.
This situation places the Nasdaq at risk of reversing direction during the European trading session.
